Water AlliesTier 1
at XP Games GA Store Champs
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
5-2-0
overall winrate
71.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.1%
avg ELO +2.1 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1275
· median 1275
· range 1275–1275
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1038
Q1 1142
Q3 1309
1509
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.3% | +21.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.8% | -19.5 |
| Horse and Taxes | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.8 |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +6.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.1 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
